A mostly to partly cloudy sky is expected for tonight as temperatures bottom out in the teens to right around 20°. There won’t be much of a breeze though, so wind chills won’t deviate from actual air temperatures by more than a couple of degrees here and there.
A partly to mostly sunny sky is on tap for Friday as temperatures warm up across northeast Kansas. By the afternoon, high temperatures will get back into the mid to upper 30s north, around 40° central, with low to mid 40s further to the south. This will be a brief warm-up though as we turn colder and snowier for this weekend.
But first, clouds will fill in Friday evening and into the overnight hours as temperatures bottom out in the upper teens and low 20s. That will lead into more clouds than sunshine throughout the day on Saturday as highs only get into the 20s and low 30s.
Late Saturday evening into the overnight is when snow chances will really start to increase and become more widespread across northeast Kansas. This snow lingers on into Sunday morning before gradually tapering off from west to east from mid-morning into the early afternoon.
Blowing snow and near whiteout conditions will be a concern at times as north winds become sustained at 15 to 25 mph Saturday evening into Sunday, with gusts closer to 30 to 35 mph at times.
As of right now, the lower snowfall totals look to set-up over our northern areas with 2 to 4 inches possible. Central and southern areas could see anywhere from 3 to 5 inches, but this is just the preliminary snowfall forecast.
Some factors, like if we see any freezing rain mix in late Saturday night, could still play a factor in the forecast snowfall numbers. With that in mind, make sure to check back for more updates from your KSNT Storm Track weather team!
As the snow comes to an end by early Sunday afternoon, the focus then shifts to the bitterly cold air that will set in. Winds will stay on the breezy side throughout Sunday, with north winds still sustained at 10 to 20 mph, with 30 mph wind gusts at times.
Some records could even be broken by Sunday afternoon! Right now, the forecasted high temperature for Topeka is 14°, with the coldest high temperature on record for the Capitol City on March 3rd currently standing at 16° from back in 1978. Either way, once you factor in those cold winds, wind chills will be below zero for much of the day anyways.
Overnight lows Sunday night into Monday morning will bottom out around 0°, if not a couple degrees below that in spots. Winds will lighten up overnight as well, but with temperatures already getting as cold as forecasted, the slightest breeze will make a difference. By the time you head out of the door on Monday morning, wind chills could get as low as -10° to -20°.
Even with a mostly sunny sky on tap for Monday, high temperatures still only get into the teens and low 20s. Beyond Monday though, temperatures will gradually start to warm up. It stays dry through midweek as high temperatures get back into the 30s and 40s. There could be a bit of a rain to snow mix come Thursday though.