*A winter weather advisory is in effect through midnight tonight for Republic, Cloud, Washington, Marshall, Nemaha, and Brown counties.*
More areas across northeast Kansas will see more of a changeover to rain as the afternoon progresses. The only possible exception will be for those along the Kansas-Nebraska border. Those spots are the ones that may not get warm enough for a complete changeover to rain, and would support more of a wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, and even snow, longer in the day compared to areas further south. If snow can stick, it wouldn’t be all too much with only a dusting to upwards of 2 inches possible for the northeastern corner of the region.
Even when there isn’t any form of precipitation falling, it will continue to stay cloudy throughout the day. The lack of sunshine will go along with high temperatures in the low 30s to the north, with mid to upper 30s further to the south.
The chance of precipitation will gradually start to the taper off as the evening unfolds, but there could be a brief switch over back to freezing rain for areas further south of the Kansas-Nebraska border, before it all comes to an end. Otherwise, any wet surfaces could refreeze overnight tonight as temperatures bottom out in the 20s. With that in mind, slick, icy spots will be a concern tonight into the morning hours of Tuesday.
Some clouds to start off Tuesday morning will gradually clear out the day progresses, allowing for more sunshine by the afternoon. However, there will be a cool breeze in place, as well. A north and northwest wind will be sustained at 10 to 20 mph as temperatures max out in the upper 30s to the north, with more low to mid 40s further south.
It will still be a bit breezy at times on Wednesday, but it will be a warmer south and southeast wind. Couple that with a mostly sunny sky, and temperatures will rebound back into the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south.
The mild weather carries over for any Valentine’s Day plans you may have on Thursday. A partly to mostly cloudy sky will go along with widespread 50s for high temperatures.
However, our next storm system will edge closer and closer late that evening into the overnight hours. While some spots may get a cold rain to start off with, most areas will already be back below freezing before the precipitation works in, supporting more of a wintry mix to snow chance.
It’s still too soon to talk exact snowfall numbers, but only minor accumulations look feasible at this point. Either way, the chance of snow carries over into Friday morning before finally coming to an end.
It will be noticeably colder for Friday overall. Low temperatures that morning will only be in the teens, and high temperatures aren’t expected to break out of the 30s for the afternoon.
However, it will feel even colder than that once you factor in the blustery winds. Strengthening winds Thursday night into Friday will be sustained out of the north and northwest at 15 to 25 mph, but gusts could near 30 mph at times. That sets things up for single digit wind chills in the morning, if not a few degrees below zero for some areas in the northern half of the region. There won’t be much improvement throughout the day as the wind stays breezy, keeping daytime wind chills in the single digits and teens.
There will be another chance for a few passing snow showers come Saturday, with drier weather on tap for Sunday. Either way, it will stay on the chilly side for the weekend as well, as highs only get into the 20s and 30s for both days.